202410060030 Status: #idea Tags: #fertility_rates #institutions #politics # The exponential effects of low fertility rates are shocking ![[Pasted image 20241006002507.png]] ![[Pasted image 20241006203105.png]] South Korea is projected to have a total fertility rate of 0.7 in 2024. With replacement rate at about 2.1, this means that South Korea's fertility is **67% below replacement**. In other words, **each generation in South Korea will be one-third the size of the previous generation**. Hence, 3 generations from now (roughly ~75 years), the cohort being born will be roughly 3% the size of today's birth cohort in South Korea. There were 230,028 births in South Korea in 2023, suggesting that by 2100, **there may be as few as 7000 births per year in the entire country.** This is an existential risk to South Korea (and all other countries trending towards extreme infertility). With births numbering in only the thousands per year, it will likely be impossible to maintain sophisticated, industrialized society. A potential contributing factor to this decline is: [[The non-teleological liberal worldview is contributing to falling birthrates]] --- # References https://x.com/BirthGauge/status/1832726932552572974